Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 387.991797 441.308503 500.771283 572.274780 656.277566 752.260382 870.842350
2025-09-21 307.656859 376.542172 460.451239 571.255206 715.325008 898.520945 1152.680816
2025-09-28 254.862824 326.199016 417.960222 546.537872 725.107609 968.982373 1335.481010
2025-10-05 233.513530 310.662111 414.732119 568.446889 795.053812 1125.655666 1661.587414
2025-10-12 218.604742 300.713039 416.156445 594.809290 872.713563 1303.474416 2053.260049
2025-10-19 200.415527 283.388752 404.125146 598.441144 914.891504 1431.889243 2390.380498
2025-10-26 180.889027 261.666871 382.614166 583.796115 924.475856 1506.946037 2648.512044
2025-11-02 165.500377 244.428843 365.742527 573.792129 939.226458 1591.569522 2940.523443
2025-11-09 157.732815 238.057404 364.953448 589.730082 1000.317441 1768.407076 3453.656952
2025-11-16 147.187374 226.195421 353.919981 586.446886 1025.676617 1881.411233 3859.741883
2025-11-23 137.102199 214.148421 341.317512 578.675406 1041.056875 1976.553309 4248.716127
2025-11-30 129.909823 206.254818 334.937132 581.284445 1076.593277 2118.762252 4785.271462
2025-12-07 120.747516 194.493858 321.129835 569.113009 1082.129286 2200.821074 5204.459493
2025-12-14 114.003319 186.401470 313.155418 567.340629 1109.300122 2337.178058 5811.315611
2025-12-21 104.765484 173.206222 294.768526 542.912274 1084.156251 2346.615010 6065.980728
2025-12-28 102.545721 172.354295 299.038566 564.636306 1164.261968 2626.666132 7215.028243
2026-01-04 100.959894 172.495297 305.130418 590.788886 1258.733224 2964.448871 8682.771925
2026-01-11 96.806504 167.540121 300.923777 594.391320 1300.141729 3170.862136 9794.901836
2026-01-18 90.990787 159.040756 289.047918 579.864012 1294.766029 3246.356322 10466.415850
2026-01-25 86.130963 152.052025 279.659055 569.940102 1299.697898 3353.136820 11305.604742
2026-02-01 84.221888 150.639976 281.458466 585.750353 1374.000414 3684.740932 13214.137324
2026-02-08 80.601217 145.616107 275.388856 582.493518 1396.823572 3862.268578 14554.799762
2026-02-15 76.831010 140.057874 267.782984 574.784323 1406.315275 3999.488646 15786.163893